Updata Advisors
Updata Advisors

 October 2007  

Application Software M&A Update
    Updata Advisors Enterprise Application Software Mergers & Acquisitions News


IN THIS ISSUE:
 

Public Equity Performance: Enterprise Application Providers Continue to Outperform Broader Indices
The first nine months of 2007 picked up where 2006 left off, delivering strong returns. In the most recent quarter, however, application stocks (and the overall market) have become increasingly volatile amid credit concerns, uncertainty of monetary policy and the possibility of economic contraction… read more >>


M&A Activity: Voracious Appetite by Large Consolidators
Consolidation in the enterprise application sector continues apace as valuations and deal sizes have risen significantly even as the number of deals has fallen slightly due to a scarcity of high quality targets… read more >>

Featured Sub-Sector: Business Analytics / Business Intelligence
Organizations continue to demand applications that mine and process their critical data to yield “dashboards” of meaningful information… read more >>

Featured Trend: The Importance of Vertical Expertise
Of several trends that are occurring right now in enterprise application software, we would like to highlight one: the premium that the market is increasingly placing on vertically focused companies... read more >>

Enterprise Application Software Public Company Valuations
Relevant financial data for publicly traded enterprise application software companies... read more >>

Enterprise Application Software M&A Transactions YTD 2007
Selected enterprise application software company M&A transactions in the SaaS, business intelligence, enterprise resource planning and supply chain management sub-sectors, including deal values and multiples when disclosed... read more >>

 


Public Equity Performance: Enterprise Application Providers Continue to Outperform Broader Indices

 

The first nine months of 2007 picked up where 2006 left off, delivering strong returns. In the third quarter of 2007, however, application software stocks (and the overall market) have become increasingly volatile amid credit concerns, uncertainty of monetary policy and the possibility of economic contraction. Publicly-traded companies within the enterprise applications software sector continued to outperform broader market indices over the past twelve months. For the 12 month period ending September, 63 companies comprising Updata’s Enterprise Applications Software Index (UEASI) increased approximately 20%, slightly more than the Nasdaq and 6% and 9% more than the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Software Index, respectively.

Month Relative Stock Price Performance
UEASI - Enterprise Applications (1) 20.1%
Nasdaq Index 19.6%
Dow Jones Software Index (2) 11.2%
S&P 550 Index 14.3%

1.UEASI (Updata Enterprise Applications Software Index) consists of 63 companies and includes the following sub-sectors: Business Analytics (BA), Customer Relationship Management (CRM), Enterprise Content Management (ECM), Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP), Human Capital Management (HCM), Product Lifecycle Management (PLM) and Supply Chain Management (SCM).

2.Dow Jones Software Composite consists of 91 U.S based mid to large cap companies drawn from all across the software sector.


From our perspective, investors in applications companies continue to reward growth, recurring revenue and visibility (as demonstrated by SaaS company performances), vertical market expertise and profitability. Within the enterprise applications sector, companies in the Human Capital Management (HCM) and Enterprise Content Management (ECM) sub-sectors have led the charge, specifically Concur and Taleo in HCM and Vignette, Open Text and Document Sciences, all up over 40%, in ECM. Valuation across sub-sectors varies widely, with HCM and CRM trading at greater than 30x LTM EBITDA and Product Lifecycle Management (PLM) and Supply Chain Management (SCM) in the low teens.

The disparity in sub-sector valuations stems from any number of reasons. ECM’s superior valuation is likely due to the relative scarcity of brand-name providers and the fact that, according to Forrester Research, the market is expected to grow at 18% over the next year. For CRM, the stellar performance of salesforce.com (up 43% over the twelve months ended September 30, 2007 and trading at 8.6x 2007 revenue) drives the sub-sector. The business intelligence sector is also trading well, as industry consolidation has focused attention (and speculation) on the remaining players and as younger public market companies like Omniture have posted stellar growth. SAP’s offer to acquire Business Objects on October 7, 2007 at an 18% premium to its previous close will likely create more attention for names in the space (Cognos, Informatica, MicroStrategy, Actuate, etc.).

 

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M&A Activity: Voracious Appetite by Large Consolidators

 

Consolidation in the enterprise application sector continues apace as valuations and deal sizes have risen significantly even as the number of deals has fallen slightly due to a scarcity of high quality targets. From 2004 to the twelve months ended Q3 2007, the median EV / LTM Revenue multiple paid by acquirers increased 68% from 1.7x to 2.9x. Median transaction values have also increased from $13 to $45 million over the same period due to acquisition sprees by the largest strategic buyers and private equity buyers that are flush with capital. This jump in size and valuation is slightly offset by a small decrease in the number of annual transactions completed, as fewer “best of breed” targets remain. (Please note, however, that exact numbers of transactions are hard to quantify because there are many small transactions that are not widely or uniformly reported.

 

This aggressive consolidation activity by strategics, as well as going private transactions, has decreased the number of public application software companies by approximately 40%, from 103 in 2005 to 62 as of May 31, 2007.

Acquisitions are of course driven by countless factors. We would like to highlight a few factors that we believe have recently played an important role:

  1. Technologies in high demand – e.g. SaaS, collaboration software and business analytics. In March 2007, Cisco announced its acquisition of WebEx, the leading provider of online collaboration services. This transaction has been the largest SaaS acquisition to date, valued at nearly $3 billion.
     
  2. Large vendors seeking to enter a vertical. Customers like vertically focused applications as they tend to be functionality-rich and address unique domain concerns. Different industries can have very specific needs, and the vendors who can provide specific functionality will continue to be the preferred providers. In April 2007, Oracle announced its acquisition of Lodestar, a provider of meter data management software for the utilities industry. This acquisition allowed Oracle to continue to build its vertical expertise and challenge SAP in the vertical market.
     
  3. Strategic acquirers view M&A as the preferred path to growth. As the overall software industry matures, particularly for the large cap consolidators, companies would rather use their cash for M&A, and believe it to be a superior allocation of capital versus share buy-backs or dividends.
     
  4. Defensive deals. In March 2007, Oracle acquired Hyperion, a vendor that had apparently been coveted by SAP well. In response, SAP just announced its acquisition of Business Objects, one of world’s leading BI companies with 82% of Fortune 500 companies as clients and 50,000+ users worldwide. Earlier, SAP paid an undisclosed – but by all estimates robust – multiple to acquire rival BI provider OutlookSoft.
 

Most Active Buyers of Enterprise Application Software Companies Since 2004


*Transactions made by SSA Global Technologies, now part of Infor.

Source: Updata Database. Targets only represent those classified as Enterprise Application companies. Only represents deals from 01/01/04 through 10/08/07.

 

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Featured Sub-Sector: Business Analytics / Business Intelligence
 

Organizations continue to demand applications that mine and process their critical data to yield “dashboards” of meaningful information. Business Intelligence – or, to use Updata Advisors’ preferred term, Business Analytics – is one of the more active sub-sectors in enterprise applications software. Updata sees the following trends in BI / BA:

Increased demand and growth:
The Business Analytics sector is squarely in the sights of enterprise IT managers these days. According to IDC, the sector has grown from approximately $4.6 billion in 2003 to approximately $6.4 billion in 2006, a compound annual growth rate of 12.0%. The market is projected to grow another $1.8 billion over the next three years, leading to a projected total market of $8.2 billion in 2009.

In a poll conducted by IDC published in May 2007, 65% of respondents believe that BI is a high priority and critical to their company over the next year, while an additional 12% believe BI will become critical over a span of three to five years.

Innovation – capability and delivery advancements:
Organizations are moving past simple query and reporting tools and looking to BA to provide forecasting and optimization. BA tools are increasingly beginning to provide predictive analytics. As opposed to looking in the “rear view mirror,” enterprises now seek to anticipate future needs, better allocate resources and quickly spot trends affecting their businesses. The ultimate goal of these “analytical applications” is to improve business processes and make better decisions based on “real time” data.

Further, Software as a Service (SaaS) is beginning to make inroads into Business Analytics. Business Objects made a high profile announcement on September 17, 2007, that it plans to offer its core application suite on-demand to its 50,000+ customer base. The Company also announced that it has partnered with salesforce.com to deliver and share BI reports via AppExchange, allowing users the opportunity to gain greater insight into sales and CRM data. In addition to BOBJ, early stage pure play BA companies such as LucidEra, LogiXML and Host Analytics offer their solution through an on-demand delivery model as well. Of note, LucidEra announced in late June that its solution was going to be available through salesforce.com’s AppExchange, three months earlier than Business Objects’ similar news.

Consolidation:
The BA sector is consolidating briskly, as was recently reaffirmed by SAP’s announced acquisition of Business Objects. SAP’s offer to buy BOBJ is the largest deal to date in the space, with a value of $6.8 million, or 4.0x LTM revenue. SAP CEO Henning Kagermann said “Customers have demanded an integrated, end-to-end business process landscape.” Business Objects’ solution will be more closely aligned with SAP’s going forward, but will also continue to be offered on a stand-alone basis. This is SAP’s second BA acquisition this year, after acquiring Outlooksoft which itself had been viewed a response to Oracle’s Hyperion acquisition.

SAP/Business Objects combined will have approximately 17% of the BA market; leader Oracle/Hyperion now controls approximately 26%. Pure play provider Cognos has 8%, followed by Infor with 6% and SAS with 5%; the top 5 companies account for 63%. 37% of the market share is still fragmented and available for strategic consolidation.

Infor, the fourth largest BA provider and third largest ERP vendor, has demonstrated its focus and commitment to BA with new products and experienced management. Infor has added a new workforce analytics module to its WMS application that allows companies to plan and predict warehouse demand. Jon Pilkington, Infor's new performance management group head recently hired from Cognos, is clearly determined to expand Infor’s BA solutions that it acquired through Extensity and Systems Union Group.

The table below contains YTD 2007 transactions in the BA space.

Selected Business Analytics Precedent Transactions

($ in millions)
Announce
Date
Seller Buyer EV EV/
Rev
EV/
EBITDA
Oct-07 Business Objects SAP AG $ 5,582.0 4.0x 22.7x
Sep-07 Longview Solutions Exact Software NV $ 51.5 1.8x 7.9x
Sep-07 Offermatica Omniture, Inc $ 65.0 7.2x NA
Sep-07 FUZZY! Informatik Business Objects NA NA NA
Sep-07 Applix, Inc Cognos $ 306.0 5.0x 35.5x
Jun-07 Applied Financial Technology Fidelity National Information Services, Inc NA NA NA
May-07 Inxight Software, Inc Business Objects SA $ 75.0 3.0x NA
May-07 OutlookSoft Corporation (1) SAP AG $ 490.0 8.9x NA
May-07 Spotfire Inc. TIBCO Software Inc $ 195.0 4.3x NA
Apr-07 Cartesis S.A. Business Objects $ 300.0 2.4x NA
Mar-07 Hyperion Solutions Corporation Oracle Corporation $ 2,805.0 3.4x 20.5x
Mar-07 Sharp Analytics iCrossing Inc NA NA NA
Feb-07 Intelligent Results First Data Corp NA NA NA
Feb-07 Touch Clarity Omniture, Inc $ 57.0 NA NA
Feb-07 Pilot Software SAP AG NA NA NA
Jan-07 Decisioneering Hyperion Solutions Corp NA NA NA
Jan-07 Instadia Omniture Inc NA NA NA
Jan-07 Celequest Inc Cognos Inc $ 11.0 2.8x NA
Mean: 4.3x 21.7x
Median: 3.7x 21.6x




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Featured Trend: The Importance of Vertical Expertise
 

“You’re always struggling if you’re #2 in a vertical.” – Andrew Griffith, Head of M&A, Sage Software

Of several trends that are occurring right now in enterprise application software, we would like to highlight one: the premium that the market is increasingly placing on vertically focused companies. Vertically focused software plays are receiving greater attention as the market values companies that “own a domain” at a premium. Some examples of public applications companies that are focused on a particular industry are:

  • AspenTech in process manufacturing
  • Advent Software in financial services
  • Blackbaud in non-profits
  • Blackboard in education
  • DealerTrack in automotive
  • Retalix in grocery and convenience stores
  • Trizetto Group in healthcare

By addressing the unique requirements of specific verticals, these providers offer a solution that is “stickier” and solves domain-specific problems to better meet clients’ needs. These companies often trade at a premium valuation to other competitors who do not possess niche expertise. While the UEASI trades at a mean of 3.7x 2007 revenues, our selected group (albeit small) of vertically focused providers trades at a mean of 4.4x, or 19% greater. The table below shows selected public vertically-focused software vendors:


Vertically Focused Public Companies

($ in millions)

Market Value

Financial Data Enterprise Value /

Ticker

Price 9/28/07 % of 52 Week Hi

Mkt Value of Equity

Enterprise Value

LTM Revenue

MRQ Rev Growth YoY

LTM Gross Margin

LTM EBITDA
Margin

Revenues EBITDA 

LT EPS
Growth

P/E/G
Ratio CY
2008P
LTM CY
2007E
LTM CY
2007E
ADVS $ 46.97 97.1% $1,356.6 $ 1,347.6 $ 197.2 18.1% 68.2% 8.9% 6.8x 6.4x 76.9x 40.7x 21.7% 5.7x
AZPN $ 14.32 90.2% $1,421.8 $ 1,321.3 $ 320.7 4.1% 70.4% 20.9% 4.1x 3.7x 19.7x 14.2x 16.6% 1.0x
BLKB $ 25.24 90.3% $1,172.8 $ 1,171.4 $ 218.6 30.8% 67.0% 24.9% 5.4x 4.6x 21.5x 18.4x 13.0% 1.9x
BBBB $ 45.84 96.9% $1,416.9 $ 1,407.9 $ 216.5 36.3% 71.6% 17.3% 6.5x 5.9x 37.6x 23.6x 25.0% 1.7x
TRAK $ 41.88 98.0% $1,913.7 $ 1,827.0 $ 202.2 34.8% 58.5% 27.7% 9.0x 7.8x 32.6x 26.7x 23.0% 1.5x
RTLX $ 18.49 77.7% $384.9 $ 335.1 $ 210.8 10.1% 56.8% 4.0% 1.6x 1.5x 39.4x NA 15.0% 1.2x
TZIX $ 17.51 79.8% $1,109.4 $ 1,333.0 $ 403.2 30.9% 50.3% 12.4% 3.3x 2.9x 26.6x 13.7x 23.5% 1.1x
Mean   88.1%       28.0% 59.3% 17.9% 5.0x 4.4x 29.6x 19.3x 19.4% 1.4x
Median   88.4%       32.8% 57.6% 19.1% 4.7x 4.2x 29.6x 18.4x 19.8% 1.4x

Not surprisingly, the large consolidators have focused a keen eye on vertically focused software providers. For example, Oracle acquired ProfitLogic, Retek and 360Commerce, leaders in the retail space, as well as Lodestar, a provider of meta data management used by the utility industry. Lawson Software purchased Intentia for its expertise in manufacturing as well as to gain presence in Europe. JDA, an original leader in the retail software space, merged with Manugistics to extend its vertical domain expertise into the consumer packaged goods (CPG), manufacturing and aerospace/defense industries.

The table below lists some recent M&A deals which Updata believes were driven primarily by a quest to acquire vertical expertise.


Vertical Software Applications Transactions

($ in millions)
Announce
Date
Seller Buyer EV EV/
Rev
EV/
EBITDA
Sep-07 Landsteinar Nederland BV K3 Business Technology Group plc $20.0 2.4x NA
Aug-07 eTapestry Blackbaud, Inc 24.8 3.5x NA
Aug-07 Whitehill Technologies Skywire Software NA NA NA
Aug-07 Prize Corporation/ReckonUp Logix Microsystems Ltd 4.0 NA NA
Jul-07 Intuit/Eclipse Business Activant Solutions Inc 100.0 NA NA
Jul-07 Juris, Inc LexisNexis NA NA NA
Jul-07 Datacare Software Group Computershare Limited 16.0 1.7x NA
Jul-07 ZANTAZ, Inc. Autonomy Corporation plc 375.0 3.8x 56.8x
Jun-07 Torex Retail Cerberus European Investments 830.0 1.7x NA
Jun-07 InfoGenesis Agilysys, Inc 90.0 2.1x 12.9x
May-07 Silk Systems Inc Activant Solutions Inc NA NA NA
May-07 Corprasoft DataCert, Inc. NA NA NA
May-07 GuestClick Pegasus Solutions NA NA NA
May-07 Blue Agave Software, Inc i2 Technologies, Inc. NA NA NA
Apr-07 Wizcom Inc Pegasus Solutions NA NA NA
Apr-07 Arkona, Inc. DealerTrack Holdings, Inc 58.2 4.5x 45.1x
Apr-07 Lodestar Corporation Oracle Corporation NA NA NA
Mar-07 Computer Software Group plc Management Buyout Group 221.0 3.4x 15.0x
Mar-07 CrossBorder Solutions Thomson Corporation NA NA NA
Mar-07 SevenThree Maxima Holdings Plc NA NA NA
Feb-07 Advanced Data Systems, Inc Tyler Technologies, Inc 4.2 1.4x NA
Feb-07 East Circle Solutions Advent Software, Inc NA NA NA
Feb-07 Solika Solutions TASQ Technology NA NA NA
Jan-07 ISS Retail Junction Solutions NA NA NA
Jan-07 Solid Data NV/SA Exact Holding N.V NA NA NA
Mean: 2.7x 32.4x
Median: 2.4x 30.1x

 

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Enterprise Application Software Public Company Valuations

 

Relevant financial data for publicly traded enterprise application software companies.

Business Analytics
($ in millions)

Market Value

Financial Data Enterprise Value /
Ticker Price 9/28/07 % of 52 Week High Mkt Value of Equity Enterprise Value LTM Revenue MRQ Rev. Growth YoY LTM Gross Margin LTM EBITDA Margin Revenues EBITDA LT EPS Growth P/E/G Ratio CY
2008P
LTM CY
2007E
LTM CY
2007E
ACTU $6.45 89.0% $479.4 $408.8 $133.7 9.6% 79.2% 12.5% 3.1x 2.9x 24.4x 14.0x 20.0% 0.9x
BOBJ $44.87 95.5% $4,867.7 $4,553.0 $1,378.6 23.3% 76.2% 16.0% 3.3x 3.0x 20.7x 15.4x 14.8% 1.4x
CHRD $13.86 83.8% $549.1 $475.7 $114.1 36.0% 71.4% NM 4.2x 3.6x NM 26.8x 22.5% 0.9x
COGN $41.53 91.7% $4,007.5 $3,353.5 $998.9 9.0% 78.2% 15.5% 3.4x 3.1x 21.6x 15.5x 14.2% 1.3x
DMAN $13.65 99.8% $467.8 $394.4 $50.9 40.5% 66.3% NM 7.7x 6.8x NM NM 22.5% 4.7x
FIC $36.11 84.0% $2,108.0 $2,336.4 $822.3 -0.7% 64.9% 25.9% 2.8x 2.8x 11.0x 11.3x 12.3% 1.6x
INFA $15.70 98.0% $1,622.4 $1,411.2 $352.1 16.6% 79.6% 14.5% 4.0x 3.7x 27.6x 23.7x 18.2% 1.2x
MSTR $79.34 59.6% $1,046.6 $970.4 $327.5 14.4% 83.3% 29.2% 3.0x 2.8x 10.1x 10.8x 16.6% 0.9x
OMTR $30.32 96.5% $2,002.9 $1,917.2 $107.1 77.9% 61.7% 6.3% 17.9x 13.6x NM 93.5x 40.6% 2.2x
OTEX $25.97 95.7% $1,503.8 $1,731.6 $595.7 66.5% 66.2% 23.2% 2.9x 2.7x 12.5x 11.0x 10.0% 1.5x
PRO $12.07 82.2% $294.4 $242.1 $53.5 36.9% 67.8% 17.3% 4.5x 4.0x 24.1x 22.3x NA NA
SPSS $41.14 85.9% $840.2 $711.8 $274.9 8.6% 93.4% 21.9% 2.6x 2.4x 11.8x 11.8x 15.9% 1.4x
VSCN $14.44 72.7% $318.4 $310.5 $75.8 28.9% 72.5% 5.5% 4.1x 3.8x NM 18.2x 30.5% 0.7x
Mean 88.5% 28.2% 74.0% 17.1% 3.8x 3.5x 18.2x 16.5x 19.8% 1.3x
Median 90.3% 20.0% 73.8% 16.0% 3.4x 3.1x 20.7x 15.5x 17.4% 1.4x



Customer Relationship Management
($ in millions)

Market Value

Financial Data Enterprise Value /
Ticker Price 9/28/07 % of 52 Week High Mkt Value of Equity Enterprise Value LTM Revenue MRQ Rev. Growth  YoY LTM Gross Margin LTM EBITDA Margin Revenues EBITDA LT EPS Growth P/E/G
Ratio CY
2008P
LTM CY
2007E
LTM CY
2007E
ARTG $3.02 88.8% $416.1 $375.0 $115.9 29.3% 63.5% 2.2% 3.2x 2.9x 58.5x 42.4x 22.5% 1.3x
BVSN $2.20 48.1% $268.5 $222.4 $52.6 4.2% 81.8% 38.3% 4.2x NA NM NA NA NA
FPTI $4.00 30.8% $30.3 $27.8 $4.5 -49.8% 52.2% NM NM NA 5.7x NA NA NA
IMNY $2.88 100.0% $157.0 $142.2 $30.3 9.6% 40.6% NM 4.7x 3.7x NM NM 30.0% 1.9x
KANA $3.13 83.0% $112.7 $107.4 $55.5 14.3% 75.6% NM 1.9x 1.8x NM NM 25.0% 1.5x
RNOW $16.09 87.5% $561.3 $474.6 $111.0 -1.6% 67.1% NM 4.3x 4.4x NM NM 28.6% NM
CRM $51.32 99.2% $6,458.6 $6,150.7 $613.3 49.5% 76.2% 8.7% 10.0x 8.6x NM 70.8x 45.0% 4.5x
UNCA $11.23 62.5% $252.2 $200.7 $97.0 6.1% 78.4% 3.5% 2.1x 1.9x 58.5x 22.2x 27.0% 1.0x
VOCS $29.24 95.8% $608.6 $553.3 $49.6 53.2% 80.5% 9.1% 11.2x 9.8x NM 57.9x 24.4% 2.3x
Mean 66.9% -1.7% 59.5% 12.4% 4.4x 4.7x 58.5x 48.3x 28.9% 1.6x
Median 68.5% 6.9% 57.8% 8.7% 4.2x 3.7x 58.5x 50.1x 27.0% 1.7x



Enterprise Resource Planning
($ in millions)

Market Value

Financial Data Enterprise Value /
Ticker Price 9/28/07 % of 52 Week High Mkt Value of Equity Enterprise Value LTM Revenue MRQ Rev. Growth  YoY LTM Gross Margin LTM EBITDA Margin Revenues EBITDA LT EPS Growth P/E/G
Ratio CY
2008P
LTM CY
2007E
LTM CY
2007E
CHINA $7.33 64.0% $979.1 $733.2 $308.8 42.9% 53.7% 9.6% 2.4x 1.8x 19.5x 19.1x 22.0% 0.7x
BAS1V-FI $12.95 92.5% $209.5 $199.8 $84.6 25.9% 96.0% 15.3% 2.4x 2.0x 7.1x 12.0x NA NA
EPIC $13.77 88.4% $788.3 $824.0 $407.1 6.2% 51.2% 15.2% 2.0x 1.9x 24.8x NA 15.5% 0.9x
INTU $30.30 84.2% $11,320.5 $11,014.6 $2,712.4 26.2% 80.5% 27.7% 4.1x 3.9x 14.7x 12.2x 15.6% 1.2x
LWSN $10.01 93.2% $1,809.0 $1,580.6 $750.4 68.8% 46.8% 4.8% 2.1x 2.0x 43.9x 14.2x 15.0% 1.5x
ORCL $21.65 97.7% $115,862.1 $116,435.1 $17,996.0 20.2% 76.7% 40.9% 6.5x 5.8x 15.8x 13.2x 14.2% 1.2x
QADI $8.66 84.8% $305.7 $276.3 $244.7 10.0% 58.9% 5.4% 1.1x 1.1x 20.9x 11.8x 16.5% 1.4x
SGE-GB $2.49 89.2% $6,576.6 $6,417.0 $2,877.2 146.3% 92.4% 11.8% 2.2x 2.6x 62.0x 10.1x NA NA
SAP $58.67 99.4% $71,730.8 $67,935.7 $13,684.7 17.6% 68.0% 30.2% 5.0x 4.8x 16.4x 16.3x 14.2% 1.7x
SBN $1.90 81.2% $78.5 $115.9 $89.1 46.5% 58.9% 3.0% 1.3x 1.2x 47.2x 11.3x 17.5% NA
Mean 87.5% 41.1% 68.3% 16.4% 2.5x 2.4x 29.5x 13.4x 16.3% 1.2x
Median 88.8% 26.0% 63.5% 13.5% 2.3x 2.0x 20.2x 12.2x 15.5% 1.2x



Product Lifecycle Management
($ in millions)

Market Value

Financial Data Enterprise Value /
Ticker Price 9/28/07 % of 52 Week High Mkt Value of Equity Enterprise Value LTM Revenue MRQ Rev. Growth  YoY LTM Gross Margin LTM EBITDA Margin Revenues EBITDA LT EPS Growth P/E/G
Ratio CY
2008P
LTM CY
2007E
LTM CY
2007E
ANST $32.82 93.3% $872.7 $834.6 $91.7 14.9% 97.7% 37.5% 9.1x 8.6x 24.2x NA 23.0% 1.3x
ANSS $37.54 98.4% $2,982.3 $2,942.8 $335.4 48.1% 77.9% 38.2% 8.8x 7.9x 23.0x NA 18.0% 1.5x
ADSK $50.80 99.0% $12,286.1 $11,892.5 $1,988.7 17.0% 89.2% 24.5% 6.0x 5.6x 24.4x NA 16.7% 1.4x
CIMT $2.59 54.8% $20.8 $12.6 $21.9 9.3% 84.3% 1.6% 0.6x NA 35.2x NA NA NA
DASTY $67.72 98.2% $8,073.0 $7,619.7 $1,595.8 17.1% 83.1% 20.4% 4.8x 4.4x 23.4x 15.2x 10.0% 2.4x
DLC-GB $3.42 75.2% $95.5 $46.1 $110.5 21.0% 65.2% 11.8% 0.4x 0.4x 3.5x 3.7x NA NA
MFLO $17.97 73.5% $228.7 $163.5 $64.8 -9.7% 80.7% 12.8% 2.5x NA 19.6x NA NA NA
MSCS $14.29 89.3% $640.2 $517.9 $242.8 -10.6% 80.7% 3.4% 2.1x 2.1x 62.5x NM 10.0% 5.4x
PMTC $19.00 87.1% $2,219.3 $1,959.4 $923.4 5.3% 68.5% 14.4% 2.1x 2.1x 14.7x 11.0x 6.1% 2.8x
Mean 85.4% 12.5% 80.8% 18.3% 5.1x 5.1x 28.4x 10.0x 14.0% 2.5x
Median 89.3% 14.9% 80.7% 14.4% 2.5x 4.4x 23.4x 11.0x 13.4% 1.9x



Supply Chain Management
($ in millions)

Market Value

Financial Data Enterprise Value /
Ticker Price 9/28/07 % of 52 Week High Mkt Value of Equity Enterprise Value LTM Revenue MRQ Rev. Growth  YoY LTM Gross Margin LTM EBITDA Margin Revenues EBITDA LT EPS Growth P/E/G
Ratio CY
2008P
LTM CY
2007E
LTM CY
2007E
ARBA $10.78 96.4% $888.1 $743.2 $298.6 2.6% 43.8% NM 2.5x 2.4x NM 27.9x 15.0% 1.5x
AZPN $14.32 90.2% $1,421.8 $1,321.3 $320.7 4.1% 70.4% 20.9% 4.1x 3.7x 19.7x 14.2x 16.6% 1.0x
DSGX $4.73 99.4% $230.0 $186.5 $53.6 13.7% 66.5% 20.0% 3.5x 3.2x 17.4x 14.2x 15.0% 1.2x
GSOL $22.17 89.3% $964.1 $790.6 $169.1 17.2% 41.5% 16.1% 4.7x 4.3x 29.0x 23.5x 22.5% 1.1x
ITWH $15.25 55.5% $ 447.7 $522.7 $281.5 0.5% 58.7% 13.2% 1.9x 2.0x 14.2x NA 10.0% 1.7x
JDAS $20.66 87.4% $782.3 $873.0 $359.3 75.3% 59.8% 20.3% 2.4x 2.4x 12.0x 10.8x 17.9% 0.9x
KWL.L $1.16 87.9% $144.8 $134.5 $78.7 NA 90.8% 13.0% 1.7x 1.3x 13.2x 9.4x NA NA
LGTY $11.75 88.7% $189.4 $157.1 $43.8 27.6% 67.1% 28.9% 3.6x 3.2x 12.4x NA NA NA
MANH $27.41 86.7% $827.8 $748.1 $316.0 15.1% 57.3% 17.6% 2.4x 2.2x 13.4x 12.1x 14.7% 1.4x
VERT $5.08 56.6% $9.6 $14.7 $14.9 -18.4% 51.4% NM 1.0x NA NM NA NA NA
 
Mean 86.8% 19.5% 61.8% 18.7% 2.8x 2.8x 16.4x 16.0x 16.0% 1.3x
Median 88.7% 14.4% 59.8% 18.8% 2.5x 2.4x 13.8x 14.2x 15.0% 1.2x



Software-as-a-Service (SaaS)
($ in millions)
Market Value Financial Data Enterprise Value /
Ticker Price 9/28/07 %
of 52 Week Hi
Mkt Value of Equity Enterprise Value LTM Revenue MRQ Rev Growth YoY LTM Gross Margin LTM EBITDA Margin Revenues EBITDA LT EPS Growth P/E/G
Ratio CY
2008P
LTM CY
2007E
LTM CY
2007E
BLKB $25.99 93.0% $1,172.8 $1,171.4 $218.6 30.8% 67.0% 24.9% 5.4x 4.6x 21.5x 18.4x 13.0% 1.9x
BBBB $46.76 97.7% $1,416.9 $1,407.9 $216.5 36.3% 71.6% 17.3% 6.5x 5.9x 37.6x 23.6x 25.0% 1.7x
CNQR $34.81 98.2% $1,380.3 $1,366.5 $120.9 23.8% 64.9% 19.4% 11.3x 9.5x 58.3x 45.0x 23.1% 3.0x
TRAK $49.09 100.0% $1,913.7 $1,827.0 $202.2 34.8% 58.5% 27.7% 9.0x 7.8x 32.6x 26.7x 23.0% 1.5x
DMAN $16.59 89.4% $467.8 $394.4 $50.9 40.5% 66.3% NM 7.7x 6.8x NM NM 22.5% 4.7x
HIRE $10.99 72.5% $95.3 $110.3 $64.1 21.0% 46.4% 14.5% 1.7x 1.6x 12.7x 11.4x 21.8% 0.7x
KNXA $33.48 78.9% $856.8 $748.7 $151.8 82.8% 71.9% 20.7% 4.9x 3.9x 23.8x 16.3x 24.4% 0.9x
LPSN $6.40 80.7% $316.8 $290.3 $41.9 57.2% 75.1% 11.3% 6.9x 5.6x 61.5x 27.8x 31.0% 1.6x
OMTR $33.25 90.6% $2,002.9 $1,917.2 $107.1 77.9% 61.7% 6.3% 17.9x 13.6x NM NM 40.6% 2.2x
RHT $21.39 84.7% $4,554.3 $4,286.9 $435.5 41.5% 84.0% 18.7% 9.8x 8.6x 52.7x 31.1x 22.8% 1.1x
RNOW $17.02 92.6% $561.3 $474.6 $111.0 -1.6% 67.1% NM 4.3x 4.4x NM NM 28.6% NM
SLRY $15.90 98.5% $219.2 $179.2 $25.4 41.8% 77.6% NM 7.1x 5.7x NM NA 23.3% NM
CRM $57.06 99.2% $6,458.6 $6,150.7 $613.3 49.5% 76.2% 8.7% 10.0x 8.6x NM NM 45.0% 4.5x
TLEO $27.64 96.2% $730.8 $661.9 $111.1 31.9% 68.4% 4.6% 6.0x 5.3x NM 44.4x 27.9% 1.6x
TZIX $17.29 78.8% $1,109.4 $1,333.0 $403.2 30.9% 50.3% 12.4% 3.3x 2.9x 26.6x 13.7x 23.5% 1.1x
ULTI $33.94 92.7% $891.9 $876.1 $133.3 23.4% 56.4% 8.6% 6.6x 5.8x 76.5x 34.5x 23.9% 1.9x
VSCN $17.06 85.9% $318.4 $310.5 $75.8 28.9% 72.5% 5.5% 4.1x 3.8x NM 18.2x 30.5% 0.7x
VOCS $31.92 96.1% $608.6 $553.3 $49.6 53.2% 80.5% 9.1% 11.2x 9.8x NM 57.9x 24.4% 2.3x
WBSN $20.24 71.6% $975.9 $947.4 $193.6 14.3% 90.6% 14.4% 4.9x 4.3x 28.9x 15.3x 14.7% 1.3x
Mean 89.1% 38.2% 68.9% 14.0% 7.6x 6.5x 35.6x 27.4x 25.7% 1.9x
Median 91.6% 35.5% 70.0% 13.4% 6.6x 5.7x 32.6x 25.2x 23.9% 1.6x

 

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Enterprise Application Software M&A Transactions YTD 2007

 

Selected enterprise application software company M&A transactions, including deal values and multiples.

 
($ in millions)
Announce Date

Seller

Buyer

EV

EV/Rev EV/EBITDA
Sep-07 Hawthorne Benefit Technologies Inc Paychex, Inc. NA NA NA
Sep-07 iEmployee Asure Software $10.7 1.8x NA
Sep-07 Advectis, Inc Xerox Corporation 32.0 4.4x NA
Aug-07 PlassoTech Autodesk, Inc. NA NA NA
Aug-07 Mobisoft Oy Digital Dispatch Systems Inc. 7.7 NA NA
Aug-07 Decision Management International Inc Emerson Process Management NA NA NA
Aug-07 Skymatter Limited Autodesk, Inc. NA NA NA
Aug-07 Prize Corporation/ReckonUp Logix Microsystems Ltd 4.0 NA NA
Jul-07 ITG Competency Group, LLC Salary.com, Inc. 2.0 NA NA
Jul-07 Gelco Information Network, Inc Concur Technologies, Inc 170.0 2.8x 14.9x
Jul-07 Prairie Voice Services, Inc. CSG Systems International, Inc. 39.0 NA NA
Jul-07 Recruiter Norge AS StepStone 1.7 NA NA
Jul-07 Xhive EMC Corporation NA NA NA
Jun-07 Immediacy Limited Mediasurface plc 11.2 1.6x NA
Jun-07 Zorch, Inc First Consulting Group 2.0 NA NA
Jun-07 Opticore Autodesk, Inc. NA NA NA
Jun-07 WisdomNet Watson Wyatt Worldwide NA NA NA
Jun-07 Captor Kronos Incorporated NA NA NA
Jun-07 Accord Human Resources Virgo Capital NA NA NA
Jun-07 Alignent Software Inc Sopheon plc 4.8 1.6x NA
Jun-07 StraightSource Kenexa Corporation NA NA NA
May-07 RMI Carlyle Group NA NA NA
May-07 NavisWorks Autodesk, Inc. 25.0 NA NA
May-07 Silk Systems Inc Activant Solutions Inc NA NA NA
May-07 NC Graphics Ltd PTC NA NA NA
May-07 Agile Software Corp Oracle Corporation 330.6 2.5x NM
May-07 ICR Limited, L.C Salary.com, Inc. 10.0 NA NA
May-07 Hansen Information Technologies Infor Global Solutions NA NA NA
May-07 Wicom Communications SAP AG NA NA NA
May-07 TDV GmbH Bentley Systems NA NA NA
May-07 Snowdrop Systems Limited Sage Group plc 34.0 2.3x 15.5x
May-07 Vtrenz Silverpop NA NA NA
May-07 Agile Software Oracle 330.6 2.5x NM
May-07 CIMNET Invensys, PLC 22.1 4.2x 32.7x
May-07 Marketing Solutions, Inc Fidelity National Information Services, Inc NA NA NA
May-07 Blue Agave Software, Inc i2 Technologies, Inc. NA NA NA
Apr-07 ICEM Dassault Systèmes 70.0 NA NA
Apr-07 Tridion BV SDL International 72.0 2.5x NA
Apr-07 Saratoga Systems CDC Software NA NA NA
Apr-07 Mobius Management Systems, Inc Allen Systems Group 150.0 1.6x 55.8x
Apr-07 GISquadrat AG Intergraph Corporation NA NA NA
Apr-07 PulseOne Solutions Group Scancode Systems Inc NA NA NA
Apr-07 Workbrain Corp. Infor Global Solutions 153.7 1.6x NM
Mar-07 Koral Salesforce.com NA NA NA
Mar-07 Kronos Incorporated Hellman & Friedman Capital 1,760.0 2.9x 26.6x
Mar-07 Econometrix Inc COMSYS IT Partners Inc 6.0 NA NA
Mar-07 MapInfo Corporation Pitney Bowes Inc. 422.0 2.5x 20.2x
Mar-07 CrossBorder Solutions Thomson Corporation NA NA NA
Mar-07 SevenThree Maxima Holdings Plc NA NA NA
Mar-07 Ocean Tariff Bureau and Blue Pacific Descartes Systems Group 1.0 NA NA
Mar-07 Momentum Systems, Inc Open Text Corporation 4.0 NA NA
Feb-07 BeVocal Nuance Communications, Inc. 140.0 5.4x NA
Feb-07 Nuvosoft Inc Plateau Systems NA NA NA
Feb-07 Graphical Data Capture, Ltd MapInfo Corporation 9.8 NA NA
Feb-07 Respond Group, Ltd. CDC Software NA NA NA
Feb-07 IPACS e-Solutions Group Kewill Systems, plc. 3.6 NA NA
Feb-07 INPHO GmbH Trimble NA NA NA
Feb-07 LogicTools ILOG 15.0 NA NA
Feb-07 Witness Systems, Inc Verint Systems Inc. 950.0 4.6x 32.5x
Feb-07 LeadROI, Inc Root Markets Inc NA NA NA
Feb-07 CambridgeDocs Document Sciences Corporation NA NA NA
Jan-07 KIWI Software Bentley Systems NA NA NA
Jan-07 UGS Siemens 3,500.0 2.9x 11.7x
Jan-07 Mincom Limited Francisco Partners 250.0 NA NA
Jan-07 GetActive Software, Inc Convio, Inc NA NA NA
Mean: 2.8x 26.2x
Median: 2.5x 23.4x

*Includes Customer Relationship Management, Human Capital, Management, Enterprise Resource Planning, Enterprise Content Management, Product Lifecycle Management and Supply Chain Management.



Business Analytics Transactions YTD 2007
($ in millions)
Announce Date

Seller

Buyer

EV

EV/Rev EV/EBITDA
Oct-07 Business Objects SAP AG $5,582.0 4.0x 22.7x
Sep-07 Longview Solutions Exact Software NV       51.5 1.8x 7.9x
Sep-07 Offermatica Omniture, Inc       65.0 7.2x NA
Sep-07 FUZZY! Informatik Business Objects   NA   NA NA
Sep-07 Applix, Inc Cognos      306.0 5.0x 35.5x
Jun-07 Applied Financial Technology Fidelity National Information Services, Inc   NA   NA NA
May-07 Inxight Software, Inc Business Objects SA       75.0 3.0x NA
May-07 OutlookSoft Corporation (1) SAP AG      490.0 8.9x NA
May-07 Spotfire Inc. TIBCO Software Inc      195.0 4.3x NA
Apr-07 Cartesis S.A. Business Objects      300.0 2.4x NA
Mar-07 Hyperion Solutions Corporation Oracle Corporation   2,805.0 3.4x 20.5x
Mar-07 Sharp Analytics iCrossing Inc   NA   NA NA
Feb-07 Intelligent Results First Data Corp   NA   NA NA
Feb-07 Touch Clarity Omniture, Inc       57.0 NA NA
Feb-07 Pilot Software SAP AG   NA   NA NA
Jan-07 Decisioneering Hyperion Solutions Corp   NA   NA NA
Jan-07 Instadia Omniture Inc   NA   NA NA
Jan-07 Celequest Inc Cognos Inc       11.0 2.8x NA
Mean: 4.3x 21.7x
Median: 3.7x 21.6x

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For more information, contact:


Greg Ager: gager@updata.com
Chase Sanders: csanders@updata.com
Carlos Sava: csava@updata.com


Updata Advisors, Inc. Disclaimer
The information and opinions in this report were prepared by Updata Capital, Inc. ("Updata"). The information herein is believed by Updata to be reliable and has been obtained from and based upon public sources believed to be reliable, but Updata makes no representation as to the accuracy or completeness of such information. Updata may provide, may have provided or may seek to provide M&A advisory services to one or more companies mentioned herein. In addition, employees of Updata may have purchased or may purchase securities in one or more companies mentioned in this report. Opinions, estimates and analyses in this report constitute the current judgment of the author as of the date of this report. They do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Updata and are subject to change without notice. Updata has no obligation to update, modify or amend this report or to otherwise notify a reader thereof in the event that any matter stated herein, or any opinion, estimate, forecast or analysis set forth herein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate. This report is provided for informational purposes only. It is not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments or to participate in any particular trading strategy in any jurisdiction.

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